Friday, 29 May 2020
Global Conversations with Dr Jorge: Vlog Series - Pilot
Territorial disputes: Northern Ireland (Part 25) [Post 110]
Northern Ireland and the egalitarian shared sovereignty
Northern Ireland and territory: the egalitarian shared sovereignty
- equal right to participate (egalitarian consensus principle);
- the nature and degree of participation depends on efficiency of accomplishing the particular objective/area/activity at issue (principle of efficiency);
- each party receives a benefit (in terms of rights and opportunities) that depends on what that party cooperates with (input-to-output ratio principle); and
- provided the party with greater ability and therefore greater initial participation rights has the obligation to bring the other two parties towards equilibrium (equilibrium proviso).
- How is that translated into geographical borders between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland after Brexit?
- What about the exploration and exploitation of natural resources? This question has two parts:
- the sea-zone adjacent to Northern Ireland only; and
- the portion that overlaps with the Republic of Ireland.
- Finally, in the hypothetical scenario that Northern Ireland had a referendum and decided to leave the United Kingdom, who would defend them?
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NEXT POST:
Thursday, 28 May 2020
Territorial disputes: Northern Ireland (Part 24) [Post 109]
Northern Ireland and Brexit on the news
BBC
Theresa May says EU must 'evolve' its Brexit position
Belfast Telegraph
Ireland 'will have hardest border in Europe if there's a no deal Brexit'
Sky News
Northern Ireland 'unsupportive' of 'no deal' Brexit, study shows
Financial Times
Hard Brexit: the eye-catching contingency plans to stop NI power blackouts
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NEXT POST:
Wednesday, 27 May 2020
Territorial disputes: Northern Ireland (Part 23) [Post 108]
What do people in Northern Ireland want?
Northern Ireland, in light of Brexit, presents many issues at stake. Arguably, Northern Ireland might still have the choice to have access to the European Union. The previous posts presented brief background information and a few views that included references to law and politics, the European Union, and many others.
Post 106: Territorial disputes: Northern Ireland (Part 21)
Post 107: Territorial disputes: Northern Ireland (Part 22)
Today’s post centers the attention on one of these parties: people. What do people in Northern Ireland want? Several documents give us an idea of what they want.
In the 2016 EU referendum, 58% of voters in Northern Ireland voted for Remain. This result, and the continuing uncertainty over the impact of Brexit on the Irish border, has led to calls for a border poll to allow the whole island of Ireland to remain in the EU.
Who is calling for a border poll to take place?
In 2018, Sinn Féin’s leader in Northern Ireland, Michelle O’Neill, called for this to happen within five years. The nationalist Social and Democratic Labour Party (SDLP) support a referendum on Irish reunification after the Brexit negotiations.
The Irish Government has also taken the position that the time is not right for a border poll. In July 2017, Irish Taoiseach Leo Varadkar stated that a vote on Irish reunification at this point would be defeated, and therefore "it would not achieve a united Ireland, but what it would do is give rise to further nationalist, further sectarianism and further polarisation."
Irish reunification Published on The Institute for Government
A very recent poll by LucidTalk Opinion Panel (now 10,482 members) consists of Northern Ireland residents (age 18+) and is balanced by gender, age-group, area of residence, and community background, in order to be demographically representative of Northern Ireland.
This is the report from LTs May NI Poll for YouGov and the BBC – Main topics covered: Identity, local influence over decisions, preference for future NI government, NI Border poll – should there be one, and what way would you vote if there was one, and decision making in Northern Ireland.
The complete poll (link) below. Some interesting results to note:
- From all respondents, 56.7% consider themselves European while 46.7% consider themselves British. These figures are more polarized when we distinguish between protestant and catholic respondents:
- For Protestant respondents, 30.9% consider themselves European while 82.9% British.
- For Catholic respondents, 82.4% consider themselves European while 3.9% British.
From all respondents, 62.4% strongly disagree politicians in Westminster reflect their concerns.
In terms of what areas, the UK Government should make decisions about, there is a large difference with this question between Protestant and Catholic respondents. Protestant respondents score all factors much higher than Catholics.
Question 16 is central to this blog series, Northern Ireland in light of Brexit. “If there was a referendum on the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, would you vote?”
The figures for ALL RESPONDENTS are:
- 45% REMAIN (vote for NI to stay within the UK)
- 42.1% LEAVE (vote for NI to join the RoI)
- 12.7% UNDECIDED
- 0.2% WOULD NOT VOTE
There is a large difference of opinion between Protestants and Catholics regarding this issue.
- Protestant respondents: 78.5% would vote REMAIN; 8.5% would vote LEAVE.
- Catholic respondents: 7.2% would vote REMAIN; 84.3% would vote LEAVE.
May 2018 – Northern Ireland Tracker Poll
NOTE:
This post is based on Jorge Emilio Núñez, Territorial Disputes and State Sovereignty. International Law and Politics (Routledge 2020).
Previous published research monograph about territorial disputes and sovereignty by the author, Jorge Emilio Núñez, Sovereignty Conflicts and International Law and Politics: A Distributive Justice Issue London and New York: Routledge, Taylor and Francis Group, 2017.
NEXT POST:
Northern Ireland and Brexit on the news
Wednesday 27th May 2020
Dr Jorge Emilio Núñez
Twitter: @DrJorge_World
Tuesday, 26 May 2020
Territorial disputes: Northern Ireland (Part 22) [Post 107]
Northern Ireland: official position and impact after Brexit
Northern Ireland and Ireland. Position Paper. HM Government
Introduction
- The United Kingdom welcomes the establishment of a dialogue on Northern Ireland/Ireland issues between the UK and the EU negotiating teams. The UK believes that this dialogue should be substantial and detailed, and seek to address the unique circumstances of Northern Ireland and Ireland in a comprehensive and flexible way. The UK and the EU had positive exploratory discussions in the July round of negotiations covering the UK’s proposals in relation to the Belfast (‘Good Friday’) Agreement and the Common Travel Area and associated rights.
- The UK’s withdrawal from the EU, and the development of a new, deep and special partnership between the UK and the EU, has important implications for Northern Ireland and Ireland. While continuing to take account of these interests across the board, the UK believes that there are four broad areas where a specific focus on the unique relationship between the UK and Ireland, and the importance of the peace process in Northern Ireland, is required in the initial phases of the dialogue. This paper sets out the UK’s proposals for these areas as follows:
- An early and specific focus on these issues is consistent with the European Council’s negotiating guidelines and the European Commission’s directives, the Irish Government’s priorities paper, and the UK Government’s White Paper and Article 50. It is also in line with the issues “of particular significance” set out by the former First Minister and deputy First Minister of Northern Ireland in their joint letter of 10 August 2016 to the Prime Minister. The European Council’s negotiating guidelines are clear that “flexible and imaginative solutions” must be developed on border arrangements as an early priority in the negotiations.
- There is significant overlap in the objectives set out by the UK Government, the Irish Government and the EU. In particular, it is clear that our high level objectives are wholly aligned with regards to: avoiding a hard border; maintaining the existing Common Travel Area and associated arrangements; and upholding the Belfast (‘Good Friday’) Agreement, including the principles of continued North-South and East-West cooperation. The UK therefore welcomes the opportunity to discuss how best to deliver these shared objectives.
- The UK believes that swift progress should be made in agreeing the way forward on the Common Travel Area and associated rights and some of the specific issues arising from the Belfast (‘Good Friday’) Agreement by October. The UK also believes it is possible in this phase to establish working principles for the movement of goods, energy and wider cross-border cooperation that will underpin the development of technical solutions as part of the negotiations on the future relationship between the UK and the EU. Given the complete alignment between the UK, Ireland and the EU on high level objectives for these crucial issues, and our strong support for the peace process in Northern Ireland, these solutions should be agreed at the earliest opportunity. To facilitate progress, the UK proposes to discuss in forthcoming negotiating rounds the high level principles and criteria that could be agreed and used to test potential future models for border arrangements.
The Impact and Consequences of Brexit for Northern Ireland
KEY FINDINGS
- Northern Ireland is the part of the UK most distinctly affected by Brexit. The introduction of a ‘hard border’ with the Republic of Ireland is a particular concern, with customs controls probable and immigration checks possible. Free movement across the island of Ireland remains a desired feature of a strong bilateral relationship which strengthened amid common EU membership and the Northern Ireland peace process.
- Northern Ireland has no autonomy over Brexit. As such, Northern Ireland’s 2016 referendum vote to remain within the EU is, in constitutional terms, of no significance. The UK Supreme Court has stated categorically that the consent of the Northern Ireland Assembly is not required for the UK government to withdraw from the EU.
- The UK’s relationship with the EU (and its termination) is an excepted power, retained by the UK government. No powers have been devolved to the Northern Ireland Assembly in this respect. The 1998 Northern Ireland Act gives the Assembly the right to pass laws but only in devolved policy areas and does not affect the power of the UK Parliament to make laws for Northern Ireland.
- The Northern Ireland Assembly will be able to determine what EU legislation should be retained where it affects Northern Ireland in policy areas over which the Assembly holds devolved powers.
- Brexit will require deletion of references to the EU within the 1998 Good Friday Agreement, Northern Ireland’s peace deal. The all-island aspects of the Agreement most embed the EU and provide institutional mechanisms for the continued financing of the peace process by the EU. Given the status of the Good Friday Agreement as an international treaty and its endorsement in referendums in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, a reworking could be challenged but there seems no legal room for such a challenge. The UK and Irish governments appear to desire some form of special status – without using that term - for Northern Ireland, given the potential adverse economic effects in both jurisdictions and the political sensitivities accruing to any hardening of the border dividing the island.
- The political sensitivities of Brexit are considerable. Most nationalists voted to remain within the EU. They see themselves as Irish citizens, i.e. members of the EU, and wish to retain that status. A minimum demand is special status for Northern Ireland. A majority (but a far from overwhelming one) of unionists voted to leave. Whilst the risks to the current relative peace are minimal, the extent of continuing inter-communal polarity provides a strong case for special treatment for Northern Ireland.
- A bilateral bespoke deal between the UK and Irish governments to maintain the Customs Union between the two states – which would continue to render invisible Northern Ireland’s frontier with the Irish Republic - would require EU approval. The UK government has listed tariff-free trade across borders, via a special agreement with the EU, as a priority. Failure to conclude such a deal will impact significantly upon Northern Ireland as a site of tariff checks.
- The UK government has listed the maintenance of a Common Travel Area (CTA) between the UK and Ireland as one of its negotiating priorities. Its abolition would have significant potential impact upon travel across the border.
NOTE:
This post is based on Jorge Emilio Núñez, Territorial Disputes and State Sovereignty. International Law and Politics (Routledge 2020).NEXT POST:
Monday, 25 May 2020
Territorial disputes: Northern Ireland (Part 21) [Post 106]
Northern Ireland: When and Where it all Started
Key Dates in Northern Ireland History
- 1170 Settlers from Britain arrive in Ireland
- 1608 Plantation of Ulster began
- 1641 The Catholic-Gaelic rising in response to the Plantation and the confiscation of land by Protestant settlers from England and Scotland
- 1690 The Battle of the Boyne and the victory of Protestant William III over Catholic James II - this victory is still celebrated in many parades in Northern Ireland
- 1801 Act of Union which abolished the Irish Parliament and bound Ireland and Britain together as parts of the United Kingdom
- 1912 Ulster Solemn League and Covenant signed by over 400, 000 Protestants who wanted to remain in the Union
- 1916 The Easter Rising in Dublin against British rule
- 1921 A treaty leading to the establishment of an Irish Free State of 26 counties, with the 6 counties of Northern Ireland remaining British
- 1968 The starting point of the present ‘Troubles’ arising, in part, out of the campaign by Catholics in Northern Ireland for civil rights
- 1998 The Belfast Agreement (sometimes called the Good Friday Agreement)
- 1999 The setting up of a power-sharing Assembly in Northern Ireland
- 2002 Devolution is suspended as power-sharing unravels over IRA allegations
- 2007 Devolution is restored to Northern Ireland
Source:
The Northern Ireland Troubles: INCORE background paper (2009)
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The Creation of Northern Ireland
The Creation of The Irish Free State
Source:
- What are the issues at stakes in this a territorial dispute?
- Which remedy could be used to solve this particular territorial dispute?