Tuesday, 5 June 2018

Territorial disputes: Crimea (Part 7) [Post 72]

 
Our last post introduced the “colourable claim” in the context of TERRITORIAL DISPUTES. In particular, we aim to determine WHO should be included in case of peaceful negotiations to solve the dispute over Crimea. In other words, WHO counts?
 
NOTE two things:
1.   Today’s post: for the readers that follow this series, we have already covered this point when we presented the Israel-Palestine difference (Part 5) [Post 45]. I intentionally include this again taking into account your comments (here, Reddit and Twitter). Many readers are only interested in one particular conflict. Hence, unless they go back to previous posts in order to have a better understanding of what we mean by certain key concepts, tangential arguments will occur. That is to say, they may agree or disagree based on different assumptions about meaning, context, perception, etc. which would defeat the point of offering an open and informed ground for discussion. I aim the starting point to be the same for all participants in these discussions.
2.   The post tomorrow will be slightly longer than usual in order to demonstrate how the “same” facts may be introduced differently to argue in favour or against the historical claim. To demonstrate this point the post tomorrow will include two “academic” accounts of the historical facts concerning Crimea.
 
A colourable claim: who counts?
In brief, a party has a colourable claim if prima facie they have the right to claim sovereignty, that is to say they appear to have a probable cause to support their intended right to claim. REMINDER: a right to claim (admissibility stage) is different from saying that they have a right to sovereignty (substance of the case).
It is important to make clear that because a colourable claim recognises surface legitimacy to claim sovereignty, it does not need to be the case that the sovereign States or the population of the third territory have claims sufficiently equal in strength to give them roughly equal claims in respect of the third territory. The dispute over Crimea presents three parties: Ukraine (sovereign de jure), Russia (sovereign de facto) and Crimea. The two sovereign parties (Russia and Ukraine) argue about sovereignty de jure and de facto over the same.
It is indeed in the negotiations when the parties may discuss the weight of their claims. It is in the negotiations they will present evidence (facts, law, politics, finance, history, etc.) and discuss whether they agree or disagree with their counterpart and why.
Each particular ground for a colourable claim needs exploration. In broad terms, a colourable claim can be based on: 1) historical entitlements; 2) the legal status of these claims; and 3) moral considerations. Note that this list is not exhaustive and only includes some of the most common examples in sovereignty conflicts.
 
Today’s post introduces the first ground for a colourable claim: HISTORICAL ENTITLEMENT.
A colourable claim is based on historical entitlements when any of the claiming parties bases its right to claim on past facts related to the third territory (in our case, Crimea) and their intention to be its sovereign. These past facts may related to actual occupation—for instance, effective occupation. However, they do not exclude claiming parties that do not currently occupy the third territory. In the event they did not occupy the third territory, their continuous intention to do so would be enough to grant them a colourable claim. That is because they may have been removed or expelled from the third territory. The dispute over Crimea is a clear example of two parties continuously arguing about the sovereignty (de jure) over the same territory when in actual facts (sovereignty de facto) one of these populations lives there and the other one argues forced annexation.
Effective current occupation or past occupation and continuous intention to occupy the territory, they may have a basis strong enough to have a reasonable chance of being sovereign of that third territory. In other words, the facts they use to support their right to claim sovereignty may be proven in the negotiations. It is the same kind of test used in British law to determine whether there is a possible cause to move forward—i.e. if there is a case to answer.
 
To demonstrate the importance of factual evidence (the basis for the historical claim) and the way in which this “same” evidence is interpreted differently, we are going to review tomorrow two very different “perceptions” of these facts concerning Crimea. Both these “perceptions” come from academic “rigorous” analysis.
 
NOTE: based on Chapter 6, Núñez, Jorge Emilio. 2017. Sovereignty Conflicts and International Law and Politics: A Distributive Justice Issue. London and New York: Routledge, Taylor and Francis Group.
 
Jorge Emilio Núñez
Twitter: @London1701
05th June 2018

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